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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 53178 (Sullivan, WI)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
3.4%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
0.5%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$2,172/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$439,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$1,240/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$14,880
Vacancy$744
Management$1,131
Property tax$5,157
Insurance$1,108
Maintenance$4,393
Net operating income$2,348
Loan payments$28,404
Cash flow-$26,056
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$439,258
Down payment (25%)$109,815
Loan$329,444
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$2,367
Cash in$122,992
Cash-on-cash return-21.2%
DSCR0.08
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$1,108 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for Wisconsin, $923, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
+5.8%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
10011012013014020222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$327,073
Aug 2022$354,745
Aug 2023$373,563
Aug 2024$393,678
Aug 2025$415,289
Aug 2026$439,258

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$850$980$1,240$1,640$1,650
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI MSA.

Property tax

Effective rate
1.17%
ZIP area, ACS
At the typical price
$5,157/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Jefferson County: 1.46%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
5.7
Jefferson County, last 12 months
National percentile
52th
among US counties

198 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
53137Helenville3.9 mi$468,000$1,200*3.1%-$2,438
53118Ottawa7.1 mi$624,000$1,520*2.9%-$3,222
53066Oconomowoc8.0 mi$585,000$1,8683.8%-$2,636
53549Jefferson9.1 mi$349,000$1,160*4.0%-$1,729
53156Palmyra9.7 mi$375,000$1,070*3.4%-$1,932
53069Okauchee10.2 mi$768,000$1,560*2.4%-$4,304
53036Ixonia10.4 mi$479,000$1,340*3.4%-$2,385
53094Watertown10.4 mi$324,000$1,2534.6%-$1,423

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Jefferson CountyWatertown, WI metroWisconsin

Run the numbers on a real listing

The calculator opens with this ZIP's figures. Swap in a listing's price and rent, your rate and your costs.

Open the calculator for 53178

Questions

Is 53178 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $439,000 and renting for $1,240 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 3.4% and the estimated cap rate is 0.5%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$2,172 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 53178?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 53178. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $1,240, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 53178?
The effective property tax rate is about 1.17% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024). On the typical $439,000 home that is about $5,157 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 53178 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 53178?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed +5.8%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.