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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 34431 (Dunnellon, FL)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
5.4%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
1.8%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$1,043/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$265,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$1,200/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$14,400
Vacancy$720
Management$1,094
Property tax$1,963
Insurance$3,335
Maintenance$2,653
Net operating income$4,635
Loan payments$17,152
Cash flow-$12,517
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$265,253
Down payment (25%)$66,313
Loan$198,940
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$1,429
Cash in$74,271
Cash-on-cash return-16.9%
DSCR0.27
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$3,335 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for Florida, $2,779, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
-1.2%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
10011012013014020222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$203,814
Aug 2022$259,527
Aug 2023$264,965
Aug 2024$273,359
Aug 2025$268,368
Aug 2026$265,253

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$920$990$1,200$1,530$1,650
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Levy County, FL HUD Metro FMR Area.

Property tax

Effective rate
0.74%
ZIP area, ACS
At the typical price
$1,963/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Marion County: 0.74%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
33.6
Marion County, last 12 months
National percentile
97th
among US counties

5,546 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
32668Morriston9.0 mi$462,000$1,200*3.1%-$2,359
34449Inglis9.9 mi$252,000$1,080*5.1%-$1,050
34433Dunnellon10.2 mi$273,000$1,8638.2%-$493
34432Dunnellon10.8 mi$301,000$1,210*4.8%-$1,267
34434Dunnellon11.5 mi$255,000$1,6918.0%-$495
34481Ocala13.4 mi$276,000$1,7557.6%-$636
34498Yankeetown14.6 mi$276,000$1,210*5.3%-$1,126
34465Beverly Hills14.8 mi$237,000$1,6328.3%-$450

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Marion CountyOcala, FL metroFlorida

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The calculator opens with this ZIP's figures. Swap in a listing's price and rent, your rate and your costs.

Open the calculator for 34431

Questions

Is 34431 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $265,000 and renting for $1,200 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 5.4% and the estimated cap rate is 1.8%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$1,043 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 34431?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 34431. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $1,200, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 34431?
The effective property tax rate is about 0.74% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024). On the typical $265,000 home that is about $1,963 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 34431 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 34431?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed -1.2%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.