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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 12775 (Rock Hill, NY)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
5.5%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
1.4%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$1,744/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$413,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$1,910/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$22,920
Vacancy$1,146
Management$1,742
Property tax$7,967
Insurance$2,161
Maintenance$4,130
Net operating income$5,774
Loan payments$26,706
Cash flow-$20,932
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$412,999
Down payment (25%)$103,250
Loan$309,749
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$2,226
Cash in$115,640
Cash-on-cash return-18.1%
DSCR0.22
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$2,161 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for New York, $1,801, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
+8.2%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
10011012013014015020222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$289,768
Aug 2022$350,516
Aug 2023$356,776
Aug 2024$374,937
Aug 2025$381,823
Aug 2026$412,999

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$1,460$1,570$1,910$2,660$2,770
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Sullivan County, NY.

Property tax

Effective rate
1.93%
ZIP area, ACS
At the typical price
$7,967/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Sullivan County: 2.00%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
12.4
Sullivan County, last 12 months
National percentile
78th
among US counties

390 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
12785Wurtsboro5.0 mi$340,000$1,720*6.1%-$1,777
12790Wurtsboro5.0 mi$293,000$1,670*6.8%-$999
12779South Fallsburg5.2 mi$297,000$1,120*4.5%-$1,611
12763Mountain Dale5.7 mi$279,000$1,950*8.4%-$762
12751Kiamesha Lake6.1 mi$215,000$1,690*9.4%-$408
12701Monticello6.2 mi$291,000$1,4926.1%-$1,244
12789Woodridge6.7 mi$291,000$1,620*6.7%-$1,265
12777Forestburgh7.7 mi$400,000$1,430*4.3%-$1,976

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Sullivan CountyNew York

Run the numbers on a real listing

The calculator opens with this ZIP's figures. Swap in a listing's price and rent, your rate and your costs.

Open the calculator for 12775

Questions

Is 12775 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $413,000 and renting for $1,910 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 5.5% and the estimated cap rate is 1.4%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$1,744 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 12775?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 12775. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $1,910, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 12775?
The effective property tax rate is about 1.93% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024). On the typical $413,000 home that is about $7,967 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 12775 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 12775?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed +8.2%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.