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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 12024 (Brainard, NY)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
4.6%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
1.1%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$1,829/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$408,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$1,560/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$18,720
Vacancy$936
Management$1,423
Property tax$5,701
Insurance$2,161
Maintenance$4,078
Net operating income$4,421
Loan payments$26,371
Cash flow-$21,950
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$407,814
Down payment (25%)$101,954
Loan$305,861
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$2,198
Cash in$114,188
Cash-on-cash return-19.2%
DSCR0.17
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$2,161 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for New York, $1,801, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
+6.6%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
9010011012013020222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$329,066
Aug 2022$376,509
Aug 2023$370,001
Aug 2024$377,540
Aug 2025$382,458
Aug 2026$407,814

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$1,200$1,320$1,560$1,870$2,060
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY MSA.

Property tax

Effective rate
1.40%
county, ACS
At the typical price
$5,701/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Columbia County: 1.40%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
4.6
Columbia County, last 12 months
National percentile
46th
among US counties

122 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
12062East Nassau4.3 mi$329,000$1,450*5.3%-$1,444
12136Old Chatham4.5 mi$624,000$1,680*3.2%-$3,118
12123Nassau4.6 mi$332,000$1,370*5.0%-$1,624
12060East Chatham5.1 mi$561,000$2,150*4.6%-$2,385
12125New Lebanon6.9 mi$388,000$1,220*3.8%-$1,889
12130Niverville6.9 mi$311,000$1,330*5.1%-$1,463
12029Canaan7.2 mi$543,000$1,680*3.7%-$2,740
12184Valatie7.4 mi$453,000$1,340*3.5%-$2,505

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Columbia CountyHudson, NY metroNew York

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The calculator opens with this ZIP's figures. Swap in a listing's price and rent, your rate and your costs.

Open the calculator for 12024

Questions

Is 12024 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $408,000 and renting for $1,560 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 4.6% and the estimated cap rate is 1.1%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$1,829 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 12024?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 12024. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $1,560, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 12024?
The effective property tax rate is about 1.40% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024, county figure because the ZIP-level one is not published). On the typical $408,000 home that is about $5,701 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 12024 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 12024?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed +6.6%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.