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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 04952 (Morrill, ME)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
5.5%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
2.2%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$1,125/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$319,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$1,460/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$17,520
Vacancy$876
Management$1,332
Property tax$3,634
Insurance$1,380
Maintenance$3,188
Net operating income$7,110
Loan payments$20,614
Cash flow-$13,504
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$318,793
Down payment (25%)$79,698
Loan$239,095
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$1,718
Cash in$89,262
Cash-on-cash return-15.1%
DSCR0.34
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$1,380 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for Maine, $1,150, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
+0.9%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
9010011012013020222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$259,023
Aug 2022$297,679
Aug 2023$306,472
Aug 2024$308,565
Aug 2025$316,121
Aug 2026$318,793

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$1,170$1,180$1,460$1,890$2,060
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Waldo County, ME.

Property tax

Effective rate
1.14%
ZIP area, ACS
At the typical price
$3,634/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Waldo County: 1.04%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
8.3
Waldo County, last 12 months
National percentile
65th
among US counties

145 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
04973Searsmont2.9 mi$322,000$1,330*5.0%-$1,219
04915Belfast6.8 mi$385,000$1,4934.7%-$1,573
04941Montville7.5 mi$286,000$1,120*4.7%-$1,191
04849Lincolnville9.2 mi$476,000$1,900*4.8%-$1,770
04949Liberty9.4 mi$338,000$1,230*4.4%-$1,443
04986Thorndike9.8 mi$249,000$1,420*6.8%-$657
04921Brooks11.6 mi$289,000$1,410*5.9%-$948
04974Searsport11.9 mi$323,000$1,290*4.8%-$1,262

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Waldo CountyMaine

Run the numbers on a real listing

The calculator opens with this ZIP's figures. Swap in a listing's price and rent, your rate and your costs.

Open the calculator for 04952

Questions

Is 04952 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $319,000 and renting for $1,460 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 5.5% and the estimated cap rate is 2.2%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$1,125 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 04952?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 04952. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $1,460, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 04952?
The effective property tax rate is about 1.14% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024). On the typical $319,000 home that is about $3,634 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 04952 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 04952?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed +0.9%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.