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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 04849 (Lincolnville, ME)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
4.8%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
2.0%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$1,770/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$476,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$1,900/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$22,800
Vacancy$1,140
Management$1,733
Property tax$4,255
Insurance$1,380
Maintenance$4,759
Net operating income$9,533
Loan payments$30,774
Cash flow-$21,241
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$475,915
Down payment (25%)$118,979
Loan$356,936
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$2,565
Cash in$133,256
Cash-on-cash return-15.9%
DSCR0.31
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$1,380 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for Maine, $1,150, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
+2.1%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
10010511011512020222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$408,242
Aug 2022$469,693
Aug 2023$468,723
Aug 2024$470,431
Aug 2025$466,307
Aug 2026$475,915

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$1,530$1,540$1,900$2,460$2,680
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Waldo County, ME.

Property tax

Effective rate
0.89%
ZIP area, ACS
At the typical price
$4,255/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Waldo County: 1.04%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
8.3
Waldo County, last 12 months
National percentile
65th
among US counties

145 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
04848Islesboro5.6 mi$443,000$1,360*3.7%-$2,230
04843Camden5.7 mi$692,000$1,8503.2%-$3,447
04952Morrill9.2 mi$319,000$1,460*5.5%-$1,125
04847Hope9.6 mi$396,000$1,530*4.6%-$1,579
04973Searsmont9.8 mi$322,000$1,330*5.0%-$1,219
04915Belfast10.2 mi$385,000$1,4934.7%-$1,573
04856Rockport10.5 mi$593,000$1,750*3.5%-$2,884
04974Searsport11.7 mi$323,000$1,290*4.8%-$1,262

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Waldo CountyMaine

Run the numbers on a real listing

The calculator opens with this ZIP's figures. Swap in a listing's price and rent, your rate and your costs.

Open the calculator for 04849

Questions

Is 04849 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $476,000 and renting for $1,900 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 4.8% and the estimated cap rate is 2.0%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$1,770 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 04849?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 04849. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $1,900, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 04849?
The effective property tax rate is about 0.89% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024). On the typical $476,000 home that is about $4,255 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 04849 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 04849?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed +2.1%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.