Rental numbers for Frederick County, VA
The typical home here runs -$1,174 a month at 7.78% with 25% down, breaking even at about 1.7%. 0 of 3 ZIP codes with full Zillow data in this county are cash-flow positive; the median gross yield is 6.2%.
- Gross yield
- 5.8%
- typical home, Zillow
- Median ZIP yield
- 6.2%
- 3 ZIPs with full data
- Cash flow
- -$1,174/mo
- at 7.78%, 25% down
- Typical price
- $430,000
- Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
- Typical rent
- $2,088/mo
- Zillow ZORI, Aug 2026
ZIP codes in Frederick County
9 with published figures
| 22655Stephens City | $405,000 | $2,100 | 6.2% | 3.5% | -$996 | n/a |
| 22656Stephenson | $483,000 | $2,475 | 6.2% | 3.5% | -$1,195 | n/a |
| 22602Winchester | $419,000 | $2,012 | 5.8% | 3.1% | -$1,171 | +2.6% |
| 22625Cross Junction | $437,000 | $1,630* | 4.5% | 1.9% | -$1,673 | n/a |
| 22637Gore | $443,000 | $1,630* | 4.4% | 2.1% | -$1,627 | n/a |
| 22603Winchester | $432,000 | $1,580* | 4.4% | 1.9% | -$1,631 | n/a |
| 22654Star Tannery | $434,000 | $1,420* | 3.9% | 1.6% | -$1,774 | n/a |
| 22645Middletown | $451,000 | $1,420* | 3.8% | 1.4% | -$1,893 | n/a |
| 22624Clear Brook | $492,000 | $1,440* | 3.5% | 1.3% | -$2,115 | n/a |
* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, where Zillow publishes no rent index. Conservative.
Trends
Five years to August 2026
- Price, 12 months
- +1.3%
- Rent, 12 months
- +1.4%
- Rent minus price growth
- +0.0 pts
- Property tax
- 0.48%
- effective rate, ACS 2024
Show the numbers
| Month | Typical value | Rent |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2021 | $357,519 | n/a |
| Aug 2022 | $398,022 | $1,732 |
| Aug 2023 | $402,343 | $1,868 |
| Aug 2024 | $415,249 | $1,964 |
| Aug 2025 | $424,176 | $2,060 |
| Aug 2026 | $429,747 | $2,088 |
HUD Fair Market Rent
FY2027, Winchester, VA-WV MSA
| Bedrooms | Studio | 1 bed | 2 bed | 3 bed | 4 bed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair Market Rent | $1,066 | $1,180 | $1,505 | $1,895 | $2,516 |
The 40th percentile gross rent for a standard unit, set by HUD each October and used for Section 8 payment standards. It runs below market rent; Zillow's index is shown above where it exists.
Supply
- Permits per 1,000 households
- 18.9
- 670 units, last 12 months
- National percentile
- 89th
- among US counties
Tools
Test a listing in Frederick County against today's rate.
Open the calculatorPart of the Winchester, VA metro.
Questions
- Is Frederick County good for rental property?
- The typical home here runs -$1,174 a month at 7.78% with 25% down, breaking even at about 1.7%. 0 of 3 ZIP codes with full Zillow data in this county are cash-flow positive; the median gross yield is 6.2%. The figures use a typical home, 7.78% with 25% down and default costs shown on each ZIP page. They describe the market, not any one property.
- What is the property tax rate in Frederick County?
- About 0.48% of value, from Census ACS median taxes paid over median home value. On a $430,000 home that is about $2,054 a year.
- What is Fair Market Rent in Frederick County?
- HUD's FY2027 Fair Market Rent here is $1,180 for a 1-bedroom, $1,505 for a 2-bedroom and $1,895 for a 3-bedroom. Typical cash flow at today's rate is -$1,174 a month.
Sources and method
- Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), mid tier, smoothed and seasonally adjusted
Zillow Research. Read: 2026-08.
Typical home value by ZIP, county, metro and state, and the price trend.
- Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), all homes plus multifamily, smoothed
Zillow Research. Read: 2026-08.
Typical market rent by ZIP, county and metro, and the rent trend (tier A pages).
- HUD Small Area Fair Market Rents, FY2026
US Department of Housing and Urban Development. Read: FY2026.
Rent by bedroom count for every ZIP. The rent used on tier B pages, and a reference on all pages. It is the 40th percentile gross rent, so it runs below market.
- HUD Fair Market Rents by county, FY2027
US Department of Housing and Urban Development. Read: FY2027.
County rent by bedroom count on county pages.
- American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2020 to 2024 (B25103 median real estate taxes paid, B25077 median home value, B11001 households)
US Census Bureau. Read: 2020 to 2024.
Effective property tax rate (median taxes paid divided by median value) by ZIP code tabulation area, county and state; households for the permits ratio.
- Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, 30-year fixed (FRED series MORTGAGE30US)
Freddie Mac via the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Read: 2026-09-24.
The weekly 30-year rate. The site adds a disclosed investor premium to it for the loan payment.
- Building Permits Survey, county monthly files
US Census Bureau. Read: 2025-09 to 2026-08.
New housing units permitted in the last 12 months per 1,000 households, a supply-pressure signal.
Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.
Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.