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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 98591 (Toledo, WA)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
2.9%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
0.6%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$2,515/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$511,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$1,230/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$14,760
Vacancy$738
Management$1,122
Property tax$3,445
Insurance$1,478
Maintenance$5,111
Net operating income$2,867
Loan payments$33,047
Cash flow-$30,180
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$511,062
Down payment (25%)$127,766
Loan$383,297
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$2,754
Cash in$143,097
Cash-on-cash return-21.1%
DSCR0.09
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$1,478 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for Washington, $1,232, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
+1.8%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
10010511011512020222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$438,927
Aug 2022$495,808
Aug 2023$478,779
Aug 2024$492,333
Aug 2025$501,932
Aug 2026$511,062

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$850$940$1,230$1,620$1,760
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Lewis County, WA.

Property tax

Effective rate
0.67%
ZIP area, ACS
At the typical price
$3,445/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Lewis County: 0.67%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
9.5
Lewis County, last 12 months
National percentile
70th
among US counties

312 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
98645Silverlake7.7 mi$482,000$1,670*4.2%-$1,937
98596Winlock10.4 mi$458,000$1,380*3.6%-$2,011
98611Castle Rock12.0 mi$479,000$1,670*4.2%-$1,928
98593Vader12.5 mi$349,000$1,250*4.3%-$1,388
98649Toutle13.5 mi$500,000$1,280*3.1%-$2,440
98570Onalaska13.8 mi$507,000$1,310*3.1%-$2,335
98564Mossyrock15.6 mi$446,000$1,140*3.1%-$2,178
98581Ryderwood16.4 mi$266,000$1,530*6.9%-$574

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Lewis CountyCentralia, WA metroWashington

Run the numbers on a real listing

The calculator opens with this ZIP's figures. Swap in a listing's price and rent, your rate and your costs.

Open the calculator for 98591

Questions

Is 98591 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $511,000 and renting for $1,230 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 2.9% and the estimated cap rate is 0.6%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$2,515 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 98591?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 98591. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $1,230, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 98591?
The effective property tax rate is about 0.67% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024). On the typical $511,000 home that is about $3,445 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 98591 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 98591?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed +1.8%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.