Rental numbers for ZIP 92397 (Wrightwood, CA)
Negative cash flow at today's 7.78% investor rate with 25% down; the typical home breaks even at about 1.2%.
- Gross yield
- 5.9%
- rent x 12 / price
- Est. cap rate
- 3.0%
- NOI / price
- Cash flow
- -$1,232/mo
- at 7.78%, 25% down
- Typical price
- $425,000
- Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
- HUD Fair Market Rent
- $2,070/mo
- HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026
The pro forma
Typical home, default assumptions
| Operator | Line | Amount | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross rent | $24,840 | ||
| Vacancy | $1,242 | ||
| Management | $1,888 | ||
| Property tax | $2,783 | ||
| Insurance | $1,986 | ||
| Maintenance | $4,249 | ||
| Net operating income | $12,693 | ||
| Loan payments | $27,474 | ||
| Cash flow | -$14,781 |
| Operator | Line | Amount | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Typical price | $424,871 | ||
| Down payment (25%) | $106,218 | ||
| Loan | $318,653 | ||
| Rate | 7.78% | ||
| Monthly payment | $2,289 | ||
| Cash in | $118,964 | ||
| Cash-on-cash return | -12.4% | ||
| DSCR | 0.46 | ||
| Break-even rate | 1.22% |
Assumptions
Change them in the calculator- Down payment25%
- A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
- Interest rate7.78%
- Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
- Loan term30 years
- Fixed, fully amortising.
- Closing costs3% of price
- Added to cash invested.
- Insurance$1,986 a year
- NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for California, $1,655, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
- Maintenance1% of price a year
- The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
- Vacancy5% of rent
- About 18 days empty a year.
- Management8% of collected rent
- A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.
Trends
Five years to August 2026
- Price, 12 months
- -1.4%
- Rent, 12 months
- n/a
- no Zillow rent series here
- Rent minus price growth
- n/a
- positive means yields are improving
Show the numbers
| Month | Typical value |
|---|---|
| Aug 2021 | $389,191 |
| Aug 2022 | $436,546 |
| Aug 2023 | $425,124 |
| Aug 2024 | $440,814 |
| Aug 2025 | $430,675 |
| Aug 2026 | $424,871 |
Rent references
Two sources, never blended
| Source | Studio | 1 bed | 2 bed | 3 bed | 4 bed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026 | $1,560 | $1,640 | $2,070 | $2,690 | $3,240 |
| Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026 | not published for this ZIP | ||||
HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA HUD Metro FMR Area.
Property tax
- Effective rate
- 0.66%
- ZIP area, ACS
- At the typical price
- $2,783/yr
Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. San Bernardino County: 0.70%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.
Supply
- Permits per 1,000 households
- 8.7
- San Bernardino County, last 12 months
- National percentile
- 66th
- among US counties
5,837 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.
Nearby ZIP codes
| ZIP | Distance | Typical price | Rent | Gross yield | Cash flow /mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91702Azusa | 5.7 mi | $709,000 | $2,642 | 4.5% | -$2,679 |
| 91759Lytle Creek | 7.0 mi | $379,000 | $2,370* | 7.5% | -$662 |
| 93544Llano | 9.3 mi | $412,000 | $2,070* | 6.0% | -$1,275 |
| 92372Pinon Hills | 9.4 mi | $462,000 | $2,080* | 5.4% | -$1,468 |
| 93553Pearblossom | 10.2 mi | $424,000 | $2,600* | 7.4% | -$756 |
| 92358Lytle Creek | 13.0 mi | $409,000 | $2,080* | 6.1% | -$1,146 |
| 92371Phelan | 13.4 mi | $467,000 | $2,080* | 5.3% | -$1,494 |
| 91741Glendora | 14.0 mi | $1,000,000 | $3,597 | 4.3% | -$3,873 |
* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).
Every ZIP in San Bernardino CountyRiverside, CA metroCalifornia
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Open the calculator for 92397Questions
- Is 92397 good for rental property?
- On the typical home here, priced at $425,000 and renting for $2,070 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 5.9% and the estimated cap rate is 3.0%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$1,232 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
- What is the typical rent in 92397?
- Zillow does not publish a rent index for 92397. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $2,070, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
- What is the property tax rate in 92397?
- The effective property tax rate is about 0.66% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024). On the typical $425,000 home that is about $2,783 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
- What interest rate makes a rental in 92397 break even?
- About 1.22%. Below that rate, the typical home here cash-flows with 25% down and the default costs; above it, it does not. Today's investor rate used here is 7.78%.
- How fast are prices and rents changing in 92397?
- Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed -1.4%.
Sources and method
- Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), mid tier, smoothed and seasonally adjusted
Zillow Research. Read: 2026-08.
Typical home value by ZIP, county, metro and state, and the price trend.
- HUD Small Area Fair Market Rents, FY2026
US Department of Housing and Urban Development. Read: FY2026.
Rent by bedroom count for every ZIP. The rent used on tier B pages, and a reference on all pages. It is the 40th percentile gross rent, so it runs below market.
- American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2020 to 2024 (B25103 median real estate taxes paid, B25077 median home value, B11001 households)
US Census Bureau. Read: 2020 to 2024.
Effective property tax rate (median taxes paid divided by median value) by ZIP code tabulation area, county and state; households for the permits ratio.
- Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, 30-year fixed (FRED series MORTGAGE30US)
Freddie Mac via the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Read: 2026-09-24.
The weekly 30-year rate. The site adds a disclosed investor premium to it for the loan payment.
- Building Permits Survey, county monthly files
US Census Bureau. Read: 2025-09 to 2026-08.
New housing units permitted in the last 12 months per 1,000 households, a supply-pressure signal.
- NAIC Homeowners Insurance Report, data for 2023
National Association of Insurance Commissioners. Read: 2023.
Average HO-3 homeowners premium by state, multiplied by 1.2 as a landlord-policy assumption.
Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.
Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.