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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 59915 (Elmo, MT)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
2.2%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
0.1%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$4,307/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$806,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$1,480/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$17,760
Vacancy$888
Management$1,350
Property tax$4,894
Insurance$2,122
Maintenance$8,062
Net operating income$445
Loan payments$52,132
Cash flow-$51,687
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$806,201
Down payment (25%)$201,550
Loan$604,651
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$4,344
Cash in$225,736
Cash-on-cash return-22.9%
DSCR0.01
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$2,122 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for Montana, $1,768, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
+1.4%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
10011012013020222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$648,884
Aug 2022$783,308
Aug 2023$763,331
Aug 2024$828,741
Aug 2025$795,348
Aug 2026$806,201

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$1,100$1,140$1,480$1,880$2,120
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Lake County, MT.

Property tax

Effective rate
0.61%
county, ACS
At the typical price
$4,894/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Lake County: 0.61%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
4.8
Lake County, last 12 months
National percentile
47th
among US counties

60 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
59914Big Arm6.3 mi$870,000$1,900*2.6%-$4,166
59929Proctor6.6 mi$672,000$1,440*2.6%-$3,441
59910Big Arm8.2 mi$901,000$1,540*2.1%-$4,870
59931Rollins10.1 mi$1,180,000$1,540*1.6%-$6,680
59845Hot Springs11.2 mi$264,000$1,480*6.7%-$684
59860Polson12.7 mi$579,000$1,6353.4%-$2,632
59922Lakeside15.4 mi$867,000$2,3953.3%-$3,925
59920Proctor15.6 mi$691,000$1,510*2.6%-$3,373

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Lake CountyMontana

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Open the calculator for 59915

Questions

Is 59915 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $806,000 and renting for $1,480 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 2.2% and the estimated cap rate is 0.1%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$4,307 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 59915?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 59915. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $1,480, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 59915?
The effective property tax rate is about 0.61% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024, county figure because the ZIP-level one is not published). On the typical $806,000 home that is about $4,894 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 59915 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 59915?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed +1.4%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.