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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 05828 (Danville, VT)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
3.5%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
0.2%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$1,853/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$353,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$1,020/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$12,240
Vacancy$612
Management$930
Property tax$5,151
Insurance$1,458
Maintenance$3,526
Net operating income$563
Loan payments$22,799
Cash flow-$22,237
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$352,582
Down payment (25%)$88,146
Loan$264,437
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$1,900
Cash in$98,723
Cash-on-cash return-22.5%
DSCR0.02
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$1,458 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for Vermont, $1,215, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
+4.3%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
9010011012013020222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$287,306
Aug 2022$320,381
Aug 2023$345,990
Aug 2024$360,112
Aug 2025$338,020
Aug 2026$352,582

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$870$870$1,020$1,420$1,520
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Caledonia County, VT.

Property tax

Effective rate
1.46%
ZIP area, ACS
At the typical price
$5,151/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Caledonia County: 1.76%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
8.1
Caledonia County, last 12 months
National percentile
64th
among US counties

106 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
05873Walden5.1 mi$368,000$1,480*4.8%-$1,672
05819St Johnsbury7.4 mi$290,000$1,130*4.7%-$1,433
05836Walden7.7 mi$302,000$1,150*4.6%-$1,473
05821Barnet8.2 mi$345,000$1,310*4.6%-$1,634
05851Lyndon8.4 mi$289,000$1,310*5.4%-$1,182
05647Cabot8.6 mi$375,000$1,480*4.7%-$1,728
05843Hardwick11.7 mi$264,000$1,280*5.8%-$1,074
03771Monroe12.1 mi$390,000$1,380*4.2%-$1,630

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Caledonia CountyVermont

Run the numbers on a real listing

The calculator opens with this ZIP's figures. Swap in a listing's price and rent, your rate and your costs.

Open the calculator for 05828

Questions

Is 05828 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $353,000 and renting for $1,020 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 3.5% and the estimated cap rate is 0.2%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$1,853 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 05828?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 05828. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $1,020, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 05828?
The effective property tax rate is about 1.46% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024). On the typical $353,000 home that is about $5,151 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 05828 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 05828?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed +4.3%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.