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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 04554 (Bristol, ME)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
2.6%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
0.4%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$3,259/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$645,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$1,400/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$16,800
Vacancy$840
Management$1,277
Property tax$4,268
Insurance$1,380
Maintenance$6,448
Net operating income$2,587
Loan payments$41,693
Cash flow-$39,106
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$644,771
Down payment (25%)$161,193
Loan$483,578
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$3,474
Cash in$180,536
Cash-on-cash return-21.7%
DSCR0.06
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$1,380 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for Maine, $1,150, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
+1.5%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
10011012013020222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$528,367
Aug 2022$602,694
Aug 2023$617,865
Aug 2024$653,298
Aug 2025$635,002
Aug 2026$644,771

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$1,220$1,280$1,400$1,930$1,940
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Lincoln County, ME.

Property tax

Effective rate
0.66%
ZIP area, ACS
At the typical price
$4,268/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Lincoln County: 0.85%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
9.5
Lincoln County, last 12 months
National percentile
70th
among US counties

157 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
04568South Bristol2.8 mi$937,000$1,640*2.1%-$4,839
04544Boothbay4.9 mi$725,000$1,500*2.5%-$3,791
04538Boothbay Harbor5.9 mi$534,000$1,440*3.2%-$2,488
04537Boothbay6.4 mi$521,000$1,330*3.1%-$2,429
04539Bristol7.7 mi$521,000$1,400*3.2%-$2,404
04576Southport8.2 mi$887,000$1,400*1.9%-$4,689
04556Edgecomb8.7 mi$412,000$1,470*4.3%-$1,744
04551Bremen9.9 mi$485,000$1,530*3.8%-$2,064

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Lincoln CountyMaine

Run the numbers on a real listing

The calculator opens with this ZIP's figures. Swap in a listing's price and rent, your rate and your costs.

Open the calculator for 04554

Questions

Is 04554 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $645,000 and renting for $1,400 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 2.6% and the estimated cap rate is 0.4%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$3,259 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 04554?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 04554. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $1,400, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 04554?
The effective property tax rate is about 0.66% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024). On the typical $645,000 home that is about $4,268 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 04554 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 04554?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed +1.5%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.