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RE Intelligence

Rental numbers for ZIP 02535 (Chilmark, MA)

Negative cash flow at any interest rate with 25% down: the rent does not cover operating costs and principal.

Rent here is HUD's Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom, because Zillow does not publish a rent index for this ZIP. It is the 40th percentile of gross rents, so market rent for a typical home is likely higher and the yield and cash flow below are conservative.
Gross yield
1.3%
rent x 12 / price
Est. cap rate
-0.3%
NOI / price
Cash flow
-$12,458/mo
at 7.78%, 25% down
Typical price
$2,202,000
Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
HUD Fair Market Rent
$2,330/mo
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026

The pro forma

Typical home, default assumptions

Income and expenses, per year
OperatorLineAmountSource
Gross rent$27,960
Vacancy$1,398
Management$2,125
Property tax$6,938
Insurance$2,561
Maintenance$22,025
Net operating income-$7,086
Loan payments$142,419
Cash flow-$149,505
Purchase and loan
OperatorLineAmountSource
Typical price$2,202,450
Down payment (25%)$550,613
Loan$1,651,838
Rate7.78%
Monthly payment$11,868
Cash in$616,686
Cash-on-cash return-24.2%
DSCR-0.05
Break-even ratenone
Down payment25%
A common minimum for investment-property and DSCR loans.
Interest rate7.78%
Freddie Mac 30-year 7.03% (week of 2026-09-24) + 0.75 point investor premium.
Loan term30 years
Fixed, fully amortising.
Closing costs3% of price
Added to cash invested.
Insurance$2,561 a year
NAIC 2023 average homeowners (HO-3) premium for Massachusetts, $2,134, x 1.2 for a landlord policy.
Maintenance1% of price a year
The 1% rule of thumb; older homes run higher.
Vacancy5% of rent
About 18 days empty a year.
Management8% of collected rent
A typical full-service fee; zero if you self-manage.

Trends

Five years to August 2026

Price, 12 months
+2.6%
Rent, 12 months
n/a
no Zillow rent series here
Rent minus price growth
n/a
positive means yields are improving
Typical value (Zillow ZHVI)Indexed to 100 at Aug 2021
10010511011512012520222023202420252026
Show the numbers
MonthTypical value
Aug 2021$1,843,787
Aug 2022$2,282,679
Aug 2023$2,199,072
Aug 2024$2,157,758
Aug 2025$2,146,992
Aug 2026$2,202,450

Rent references

Two sources, never blended

SourceStudio1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed
HUD Small Area FMR, FY2026$1,760$1,780$2,330$3,240$3,440
Zillow observed rent, Aug 2026not published for this ZIP

HUD's Fair Market Rent is the 40th percentile gross rent (rent plus utilities) for a standard unit, and it is what Section 8 vouchers pay against. Zillow's index tracks asking rents on listed homes. The two measure different things, so they are shown side by side and never averaged. HUD area: Dukes County, MA.

Property tax

Effective rate
0.32%
ZIP area, ACS
At the typical price
$6,938/yr

Median real estate taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024. Dukes County: 0.50%. Actual bills depend on the assessment, exemptions and any non-homestead rate.

Supply

Permits per 1,000 households
22.7
Dukes County, last 12 months
National percentile
92th
among US counties

172 new housing units permitted in 2025-09 to 2026-08, Census Building Permits Survey. A high figure means more new supply competing for tenants.

Nearby ZIP codes

ZIPDistanceTypical priceRentGross yieldCash flow /mo
02575West Tisbury6.7 mi$1,687,000$2,750*2.0%-$9,000
02713Gosnold8.9 mi$1,313,000$2,000*1.8%-$7,050
02543Falmouth9.4 mi$1,536,000$2,120*1.7%-$8,743
02568Tisbury10.8 mi$1,366,000$2,000*1.8%-$7,564
02539Edgartown12.7 mi$1,878,000$2,320*1.5%-$10,606
02557Oak Bluffs12.8 mi$1,257,000$2,290*2.2%-$6,734
02540Falmouth17.4 mi$1,083,000$2,120*2.4%-$5,676
02748Dartmouth18.4 mi$687,000$2,4244.2%-$2,856

* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom (no Zillow rent index for that ZIP).

Every ZIP in Dukes CountyVineyard Haven, MA metroMassachusetts

Run the numbers on a real listing

The calculator opens with this ZIP's figures. Swap in a listing's price and rent, your rate and your costs.

Open the calculator for 02535

Questions

Is 02535 good for rental property?
On the typical home here, priced at $2,202,000 and renting for $2,330 a month (HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, FY2026), the gross yield is 1.3% and the estimated cap rate is -0.3%. At a 7.78% investor rate with 25% down, estimated cash flow is -$12,458 a month. The median gross yield across the 8,418 ZIP codes with full Zillow data is 5.6%. These are figures for a typical property, not a judgement on any particular one.
What is the typical rent in 02535?
Zillow does not publish a rent index for 02535. HUD's FY2026 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom here is $2,330, the 40th percentile of gross rents and the basis for Section 8 payment standards.
What is the property tax rate in 02535?
The effective property tax rate is about 0.32% of value (median taxes paid divided by median home value, Census ACS 2020 to 2024). On the typical $2,202,000 home that is about $6,938 a year. Your bill depends on the assessment and local exemptions.
What interest rate makes a rental in 02535 break even?
With the default assumptions, no interest rate brings cash flow to zero: rent does not cover operating costs plus principal on a 30-year loan with 25% down.
How fast are prices and rents changing in 02535?
Over the 12 months to August 2026, the typical home value changed +2.6%.

Sources and method

Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.