Rental numbers for the Nogales, AZ metro
The typical home here runs -$671 a month at 7.78% with 25% down, breaking even at about 2.5%. 0 of 1 ZIP codes with full Zillow data in this metro are cash-flow positive; the median gross yield is 7.3%.
- Gross yield
- 6.5%
- typical home, Zillow
- Median ZIP yield
- 7.3%
- 1 ZIPs with full data
- Cash flow
- -$671/mo
- at 7.78%, 25% down
- Typical price
- $279,000
- Zillow ZHVI, Aug 2026
- Typical rent
- $1,506/mo
- Zillow ZORI, Aug 2026
ZIP codes in the metro
5 with published figures
| 85648Rio Rico | $269,000 | $1,650 | 7.3% | 4.3% | -$496 | n/a |
| 85621Nogales | $222,000 | $1,050* | 5.7% | 2.8% | -$675 | n/a |
| 85624Patagonia | $406,000 | $1,480* | 4.4% | 1.9% | -$1,538 | n/a |
| 85640Tumacacori | $432,000 | $1,530* | 4.3% | 1.8% | -$1,686 | n/a |
| 85646Tubac | $505,000 | $1,690* | 4.0% | 1.7% | -$2,022 | n/a |
* HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedroom, where Zillow publishes no rent index. Conservative.
Trends
Five years to August 2026
- Price, 12 months
- +0.1%
- Rent, 12 months
- n/a
- Rent minus price growth
- n/a
- Property tax
- 0.57%
- effective rate, ACS 2024
Show the numbers
| Month | Typical value | Rent |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2021 | $237,780 | n/a |
| Aug 2022 | $274,479 | n/a |
| Aug 2023 | $272,060 | n/a |
| Aug 2024 | $279,022 | n/a |
| Aug 2025 | $278,607 | n/a |
| Aug 2026 | $278,808 | $1,506 |
Counties
- Santa Cruz County, AZ7.3% median yield
Tools
Questions
- Is the Nogales, AZ metro good for rental property?
- The typical home here runs -$671 a month at 7.78% with 25% down, breaking even at about 2.5%. 0 of 1 ZIP codes with full Zillow data in this metro are cash-flow positive; the median gross yield is 7.3%. Figures assume a typical home, 7.78% with 25% down and the default costs on the methodology page.
- Which ZIP codes in the Nogales, AZ metro have the highest rental yield?
- 85648 (Rio Rico) at 7.3%, on Zillow value and rent. The full table above sorts by any column.
Sources and method
- Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), mid tier, smoothed and seasonally adjusted
Zillow Research. Read: 2026-08.
Typical home value by ZIP, county, metro and state, and the price trend.
- Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), all homes plus multifamily, smoothed
Zillow Research. Read: 2026-08.
Typical market rent by ZIP, county and metro, and the rent trend (tier A pages).
- HUD Small Area Fair Market Rents, FY2026
US Department of Housing and Urban Development. Read: FY2026.
Rent by bedroom count for every ZIP. The rent used on tier B pages, and a reference on all pages. It is the 40th percentile gross rent, so it runs below market.
- American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2020 to 2024 (B25103 median real estate taxes paid, B25077 median home value, B11001 households)
US Census Bureau. Read: 2020 to 2024.
Effective property tax rate (median taxes paid divided by median value) by ZIP code tabulation area, county and state; households for the permits ratio.
- Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, 30-year fixed (FRED series MORTGAGE30US)
Freddie Mac via the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Read: 2026-09-24.
The weekly 30-year rate. The site adds a disclosed investor premium to it for the loan payment.
Data: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI), HUD, US Census Bureau, Freddie Mac. Every formula is on the methodology page.
Estimates from public data for a typical property. Not investment, tax or legal advice. Your property, financing and costs will differ.